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Trends in tossup states, Obama v. McCain

Here I track the states that pollster.com rates as "tossup" in the presidential electionI used all the polls I could find on Pollster (except internet polls) in 2008.  Each plot includes dots for every...

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MT-Pres: Obama's chances fade

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 9/22-24. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (No trend lines)McCain (R) 39 52 Obama (D) 52 39This results is almost identical to Rasmussen's September 8th Montana poll, taken right...

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Focus On...MONTANA!!!

Every State. Every race. Right here.This is number 47 in a planned series of 50 entries between now and November, looking at each of the 50 states in terms of every race on that state's...

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MT-Pres: in play

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/15-16. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (9/22-24 results)McCain (R) 49 (52) Obama (D) 45 (39)We're seeing similar movement as in North Dakota. Polling 9/16-17, R2K spotted McCain...

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Montana IS in play! (new poll needed)

Montanans tend to be fiercely independent with a strong Libertarian streak.  They also tend to like their guns.  Both of these things could go a long way in ensuring an Obama victory (albeit with the...

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MT-Pres: Edge to McCain, but not over

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 10/28-30. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (10/15-16 results)McCain (R) 48 (49) Obama (D) 44 (45) Not much change, and no early voting numbers to report. Montana Democrats will have...

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PPP: Newt Gingrich takes 30-point lead in Florida primary

The huge margin suggests Newt Gingrich is more than just a Not Romney (Chris Keane/Reuters) Public Policy Polling (PDF). 11/28-30. Florida Republicans. ±4.5%. (9/25 results) Newt Gingrich: 47 (10)Mitt...

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